Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions (2024)

The New York Yankees (43-19) face the Minnesota Twins (33-27) Wednesday in the 2nd game of their 3-game series at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’slines around the Twins vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 4-0

New York defeated Minnesota 5-1 Tuesday, closing as a -173 favorite. CF Aaron Judge led the team with 2 hits and 2 RBIs.

The Yankees are surging, having won 6 in a row. They have won 10 of their last 12 as well. New York sits atop the AL East and has covered the spread in 5 straight games. It is 36-25 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Twins have traded off winning and losing over their last 4 games, beating the Astros in 2 of 3 prior to facing New York. Minnesota is 9-4 over its last 13 and sits 3rd in the AL Central. It is 27-33 ATS on the season.

Twins at Yankees projected starters

RHP Chris Paddack vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Paddack (4-2, 4.57 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 61 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 7-6 home win over the Kansas City Royals on May 30
• 2024 road splits: 1-1, 6.85 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 29 H, 5 HR, 4 BB, 12 K in 4 starts
• Career vs. Yankees: 0-2, 8.10 ERA (10 IP, 9 ER), 2.10 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 2 starts

Rodon (7-2, 3.09 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 67 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 8-3 road loss to the Los Angeles Angels on May 30
• 2024 home splits: 3-0, 2.13 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 17 H, 2 HR, 6 BB, 23 K in 4 starts
• Career vs. Twins: 7-3, 4.35 ERA (70 1/3 IP, 34 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 13 appearances (12 starts)

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Twins at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Twins +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-128) | Yankees -1.5 (+106)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Twins at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Twins 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no value in betting on the Yankees, and they have a significant pitching advantage. At -190, they aren’t worth a play, and they’re also too hot to bet against.

Run line/Against the spread

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+106).

The Yankees have covered in 5 straight games, winning by 4, 2, 4, 4, and 5 in those. They are 36-25 ATS on the season and 14-13 ATS at home. They are the 6th-best team in the MLB at covering as a home favorite.

Also, Minnesota is 8-8 ATS as a road underdog, which is the 6th-worst covering rate.

Given the advantage on the mound with Rodon, who has helped the Yankees cover in his last 5 starts, expect New York to win by multiple runs and take YANKEES -1.5 (+106).

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

The Yankees have gone north of the total in 4 of their last 5 games, and their offense has been red hot. They have scored 6 or more in 4 of those games.

Minnesota, while it has gone Under in 4 straight, has tallied at least 4 runs in 3 of its last 5 games. Both offenses have been playing at a high level. Expect that to continue and take OVER 8.5 (-105).

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